Every so often, while perusing www.reddit.com, searching for an appropriate piece of news for the UNIFI blog (www.unifreethought.com), I come across a story like this: "Group asks God for rain, showers follow." Apparently there was a drought in San Marcos, TX. A group of 150 people gathered together to pray for rain. No more than 10 days later, their prayer was answered: it rained for several days. Halleluiah! Praise Jesus, God made it rain!
Now hold on a second. As a person who prides himself on being at least a little skeptical, I could not forgive myself if I didn't ask some important questions here. First of all, assuming for the sake of argument that a god exists, and that this god gives two hoots about the weather in Texas, isn't this god responsible for the drought in the first place? "Praise God, he is merciful enough to rescue us from the blight he inflicted on us!" It's a microcosm of Christianity as a whole: substitute "sin nature" or "death" for the word "blight" and you have the Christian religion.
My second question is this: why is it that the prayers that are answered are almost always inevitable occurrences? It rains. Even in Texas, even when it seems like it will never rain again, it will—eventually—rain. Also, why did God wait 10 days? Did he want it to look like a natural occurrence in order to test your faith? Another example of the power of probability rather than prayer is the case of televangelist Pat Robertson, who recently underwent heart surgery (rather than pray for God to heal him). Pat stated, "Only the prayers of thousands of believing people kept me on this earth." This makes sense until you account for the fact that many people survive heart surgery without prayer, and many don't make it despite the prayers of family and loved ones. In fact, the largest study on the "power of prayer" that was ever conducted showed no correlation between prayer and the likelihood of a good recovery after heart surgery. In fact, this New York Times study found that those who knew they were being prayed for had a greater risk of complications. You can bet that if Pat hadn't made it, they would have said it was "his time to go." God's will is a great fallback plan for when prayer fails. The same applies to the drought: if the prayers did not work, it would have been God's punishment for something (the state's new unconstitutional Bible curriculum in schools?).
I propose a scientific experiment that will eliminate the problem of statistical probability: allow a large group of Christians (BASIC?) to pray earnestly and regularly for a tornado to occur in December. No casualties, just a specific weather occurrence. If this happens, a skeptical person could consider it to be at least potentially divine. Until such an event occurs, I would encourage everyone to be skeptical of claims such as "God sent the rain."
The Impotence of Prayer
Published: Monday, September 21, 2009
Updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2009 13:09

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2. Person A is in circumstance(s) C.
3. Therefore A is exempt from S. The person committing Special Pleading is claiming that he is exempt from certain principles or standards yet he provides no good reason for his exemption."
Google "prayer study" and click on the NY Times article.
All the things he said are correct.
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